The University of Queensland, 4068
tsx@tern.org.au

The first Threatened Bird Index (2018)

Learn about the main results of the Threatened Bird Index from the TSX Team:

Graph showing overall declining trend from a baseline of 1.0 in 1985 to 0.52 in 2015

Threatened Bird Index for Australia 2018

Interpreting the index graphs

The index shows the average change in populations compared to a base year. It shows a relative change and not population numbers themselves. The base year of our index is 1985, which gets an index score of one. A score of 1.2 would mean a 20% increase compared to numbers in 1985 on average, while a score of 0.8 would mean a 20% decrease compared to 1985 on average.

The Living Planet Index team has produced a blog which illustrates how the numbers are typically crunched to produce an index. This is the same for the calculation of the Threatened Species Index.

Threatened Species Index for Australian Birds 2018

The 2018 index for threatened birds in Australia shows us that between 1985 and 2015 there was a 52% decrease on average in threatened Australian bird populations for which we have data.

The index is based upon data for many species and subspecies. At this stage, 43 threatened birds are included. These represent about 28% of all nationally listed threatened birds.

Within this, some species have decreased a bit more and others a bit less. The grey cloud around the index trend represents some of the variability in the trends of individual species that make up the overall multi-species index. It is created by randomly sampling species trends from all possible trends in the dataset 100 times, and dropping the 5 trends that are furthest from the average, resulting in a 95% “confidence limit”.

In addition to the Australian index, our web visualisation tool allows you to generate indices for all Australian states and territories and for a range of species groups and other options.

More details on the Australian index and all state and territory indices can be found in our research findings fact sheets, developed with the Commonwealth Department of the Environment and Energy and all state and territory governments.

Threatened Species Index for Birds 2018 findings factsheets:

Australia (PDF, 1.8MB)

Australian Capital Territory (PDF, 2MB)

New South Wales (PDF, 1.9MB)

Northern Territory (PDF, 1.9MB)

Queensland (PDF, 1.8MB)

South Australia (PDF, 1.9MB)

Tasmania (PDF, 1.8MB)

Victoria (PDF, 1.9MB)

Western Australia (PDF, 1.8MB)

Data sources

The current Threatened Species Index for Australian birds include data sources from the following institutions/reports:

  1. Albatross and Giant-Petrel breeding counts (Macquarie Island)
  2. Australian Fairy Tern breeding data (French Island)
  3. Australian Gould’s Petrel Recovery Plan
  4. Biological Databases of South Australia
  5. Birdata
  6. Black-browed Albatross (Heard Island 1947-2001)
  7. Black-throated Finch Waterhole Counts
  8. Blue-billed Duck (DELWP)
  9. Blue-billed Duck (S2020)
  10. Capricorn Yellow Chat annual trend data 2004-2016
  11. Christmas Island endemics
  12. Data on Eastern Regent Parrot breeding observations in South Australia
  13. Eastern Hooded Plover (biennial count)
  14. Gouldian Finch Recovery Team (NT)
  15. Great Cocky Count (Baudin’s Black-Cockatoo)
  16. Great Cocky Count (Carnaby’s Black-Cockatoo)
  17. Grey Petrel Macquarie Island (2000-2003)
  18. Helmeted Honeyeater (Yellingbo)
  19. Houtman Abrolhos Lesser Noddy
  20. Kangaroo Island Glossy Black-Cockatoo (1996-2013)
  21. LaTrobe Mallee fire and biodiversity project
  22. Lord Howe Woodhen census
  23. LTERN (Nanangroe Plantation Plot Network)
  24. LTERN (Victorian Tall Eucalypt Forest)
  25. Malleefowl mound monitoring
  26. Northern Eastern Bristlebird
  27. Northern Rufous Scrub-bird (QLD)
  28. Northern Rufous Scrub-bird and Albert’s Lyrebird (Border Ranges)
  29. Orange-bellied Parrot (winter counts)
  30. Queensland Wader Studies Group shorebird monitoring
  31. Save the Gouldian Fund
  32. Shorebirds 2020
  33. Shy Albatross (Alderman et al 2012)
  34. Shy Albatross (Thomson et al 2015)
  35. Southern Eastern Bristlebird (Victoria)
  36. Southern Giant-Petrel (Antarctic territory)
  37. Southern rufous scrub-bird (Gloucester Tops)
  38. Southern Rufous Scrub-bird (New England)
  39. WA South Coast Threatened Birds Recovery Program
  40. Western Purple-crowned Fairy-wren dataset